The New Saviors
of America
By Dr. Steve Sjuggerud
Crashing U.S. home
prices... a falling dollar... Who's going to save us?
Brits! Brits?
Yes, Brits... like Susan Wakefield and Pamela Westhead...
They live in Lytham St. Annes in England, but they're in Orlando, shopping for the holidays.
"It's at least half the price of what we pay at home," they told the Orlando Sentinel last week. They're
going home with four suitcases full of purchases. It's not just Susan and Pamela,
of course...
"It's all U.K., all the
time," Jackie Young told the newspaper. Jackie is a director at
Prime-Outlets International – a big mall near the Orlando airport and attractions. "The
influx we've seen in the last three to four months has been phenomenal,"
she says.
The mall estimates 80% of
its customers now are foreigners. The malls literally have busloads of
foreigners dropped off every day, just to take advantage of the weak U.S.
dollar.
I can
attest to it... Last week I was in Orlando,
as my dad is currently in the hospital there. I took my mom out to do some
Christmas shopping and get her mind off of my dad for a little while. Bad
idea...
The parking lots were
full. And the shopping aisles were worse than the parking lots. If a shopper
didn't have an English accent, he had a Latin one.
The paper ran a photo of
Antonio Greige, in town from Venezuela, with
six shopping bags in his hands. "The prices are good," he says.
I'm sure they are – even
the normally junky Brazilian currency has roughly doubled in value versus the
dollar in the last five years.
Brits and Latin Americans
aren't just buying "stuff" in Florida.
They're buying property, too...
"My things are so
cheap here in the States!" a middle-aged Scottish woman told analyst Steve
Leuthold. "We're going shopping... and we're
looking for a nice, warm winter vacation home," her husband added. "The prices are less than half of those in Spain. And we
have a nonstop service from Edinburgh.
Our friends just bought a wonderful condo there."
My friend, this is how it
works...
What we're seeing is
quite normal. It's people acting rationally.
For $400,000, Brits can
get an average home back in England.
But thanks to the crash in the dollar and falling home prices, $400,000 goes a
very long way for Brits in Florida
these days. And the condo they really want seems like it's
practically free right now – probably less than 100,000 British pounds.
Every time a Brit buys a
property in America,
or a fancy purse at a mall, the dollar rises a hair
and the British pound falls a hair. The amount of change is obviously
infinitesimally small. But when you have busloads and busloads of tourists
selling their currencies to buy dollars so they can spend them in the U.S. economy,
it all adds up.
Okay, maybe the Brits
(and Latin Americans, and Europeans) won't save the U.S. economy by buying handbags and
condos.
But they will make a
difference. (Heck, they probably will save Florida.)
When planeloads of people
come to Florida
to shop, we should be darn close to a bottom in the U.S. dollar. And as Orlando can tell you,
we're definitely seeing that now...
Good investing,
Steve